Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 48% implied probability. Ensemble models show limited spread around 19–21°C, reflecting typical late-August cooling from early-month heat and Atlantic moderation rather than any anomalous ridge. Historical climatology places average August highs near 21°C, supporting trader focus on the narrow 19–21°C band (over 93% combined odds) while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 22°C absent major model shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 23 agosto?
20°C 49%
19°C 26%
21°C 20%
18°C 6%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
26%
20°C
49%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 49%
19°C 26%
21°C 20%
18°C 6%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
26%
20°C
49%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 48% implied probability. Ensemble models show limited spread around 19–21°C, reflecting typical late-August cooling from early-month heat and Atlantic moderation rather than any anomalous ridge. Historical climatology places average August highs near 21°C, supporting trader focus on the narrow 19–21°C band (over 93% combined odds) while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 22°C absent major model shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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