Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and Turkish services indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, consistent with late-summer climatology where maxima typically range 30–34°C. Subtle differences between leading model runs—such as variations in boundary-layer mixing, light northeasterly winds, and daytime solar insolation—create the tight market split between these outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and station-specific measurements at Esenboğa Airport. Official resolution will hinge on the recorded peak at the primary monitoring site, underscoring how small forecast adjustments can shift implied probabilities in this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 21 agosto?
33°C 48%
32°C 42%
34°C 11%
31°C 3%
$18,198 Vol.
$18,198 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
42%
33°C
48%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 42%
34°C 11%
31°C 3%
$18,198 Vol.
$18,198 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
42%
33°C
48%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and Turkish services indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, consistent with late-summer climatology where maxima typically range 30–34°C. Subtle differences between leading model runs—such as variations in boundary-layer mixing, light northeasterly winds, and daytime solar insolation—create the tight market split between these outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and station-specific measurements at Esenboğa Airport. Official resolution will hinge on the recorded peak at the primary monitoring site, underscoring how small forecast adjustments can shift implied probabilities in this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti