Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 24 agosto?
18°C o inferiore 99%
28°C o superiore 97%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
99%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C o superiore
97%
18°C o inferiore 99%
28°C o superiore 97%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
99%
19°C
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
37%
28°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$30Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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