Recent forecasts from sources including Globalmeteo and Weather25 indicate Warsaw will see partly cloudy conditions on August 24 with daytime highs near 19°C and overnight lows around 12°C, driven by a west-to-northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a departing front. Radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds (5–10 mph) overnight will determine the minimum, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting extreme drops absent stronger subsidence. Model consensus supports a low in the 11–13°C range, yet the near-even split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing as new ECMWF and GFS runs update. Historical late-August averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring how modest forecast shifts in wind or insolation could move the realized minimum across the clustered 10–13°C resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 24 agosto?
17°C o superiore 87%
7°C o inferiore 86%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
7°C o inferiore
86%
8°C
10%
9°C
14%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17°C o superiore
87%
17°C o superiore 87%
7°C o inferiore 86%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
7°C o inferiore
86%
8°C
10%
9°C
14%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17°C o superiore
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Globalmeteo and Weather25 indicate Warsaw will see partly cloudy conditions on August 24 with daytime highs near 19°C and overnight lows around 12°C, driven by a west-to-northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a departing front. Radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds (5–10 mph) overnight will determine the minimum, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting extreme drops absent stronger subsidence. Model consensus supports a low in the 11–13°C range, yet the near-even split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing as new ECMWF and GFS runs update. Historical late-August averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring how modest forecast shifts in wind or insolation could move the realized minimum across the clustered 10–13°C resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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