Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a 19°C daytime maximum for Warsaw on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. Cooler maritime air has replaced warmer conditions after recent thunderstorms, suppressing temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24–25°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating potential amid increased boundary-layer moisture and light winds, positioning 19°C as the modal outcome. Traders have aligned closely with these official guidance updates, reflected in the 56% market-implied probability for 19°C versus 30.5% for 20°C. Final readings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 23 agosto?
19°C 57%
20°C 27%
18°C 9%
21°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
57%
20°C
27%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 57%
20°C 27%
18°C 9%
21°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$141 Vol.
1%
17°C
$222 Vol.
3%
18°C
$359 Vol.
9%
19°C
$1,714 Vol.
57%
20°C
$542 Vol.
27%
21°C
$295 Vol.
6%
22°C
$368 Vol.
2%
23°C
$404 Vol.
1%
24°C
$504 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a 19°C daytime maximum for Warsaw on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. Cooler maritime air has replaced warmer conditions after recent thunderstorms, suppressing temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24–25°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating potential amid increased boundary-layer moisture and light winds, positioning 19°C as the modal outcome. Traders have aligned closely with these official guidance updates, reflected in the 56% market-implied probability for 19°C versus 30.5% for 20°C. Final readings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,183Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a 19°C daytime maximum for Warsaw on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. Cooler maritime air has replaced warmer conditions after recent thunderstorms, suppressing temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24–25°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating potential amid increased boundary-layer moisture and light winds, positioning 19°C as the modal outcome. Traders have aligned closely with these official guidance updates, reflected in the 56% market-implied probability for 19°C versus 30.5% for 20°C. Final readings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,183Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a 19°C daytime maximum for Warsaw on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. Cooler maritime air has replaced warmer conditions after recent thunderstorms, suppressing temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24–25°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating potential amid increased boundary-layer moisture and light winds, positioning 19°C as the modal outcome. Traders have aligned closely with these official guidance updates, reflected in the 56% market-implied probability for 19°C versus 30.5% for 20°C. Final readings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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