Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 23 agosto?
31°C 33%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
$10,453 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,453 Vol.
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
20%
31°C
33%
32°C
24%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
$10,453 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,453 Vol.
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
$467 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$886 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$669 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,433 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,191 Vol.
13%
30°C
$1,261 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,375 Vol.
33%
32°C
$687 Vol.
24%
33°C
$1,579 Vol.
10%
34°C
$373 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$532 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,453Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,453Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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