Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Jeddah on August 25 likely falling in the 36–39°C range, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities favoring 37–39°C. Above-normal warmth persisting through mid-to-late August, with a +2.3°C departure from the long-term monthly mean, supports elevated baseline readings driven by strong solar insolation and subsidence typical of the season. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on small variations in northwest wind flow from the Red Sea, which modulates humidity and marine air advection, alongside the timing and extent of any afternoon cloud cover that could cap afternoon maxima. Historical August data show daily highs commonly span 36–40°C under similar regimes, with limited precipitation expected to keep conditions stable. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 25 agosto?
38°C 33%
39°C 29%
37°C 19%
40°C o superiore 17%
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
19%
38°C
33%
39°C
29%
40°C o superiore
17%
38°C 33%
39°C 29%
37°C 19%
40°C o superiore 17%
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
19%
38°C
33%
39°C
29%
40°C o superiore
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Jeddah on August 25 likely falling in the 36–39°C range, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities favoring 37–39°C. Above-normal warmth persisting through mid-to-late August, with a +2.3°C departure from the long-term monthly mean, supports elevated baseline readings driven by strong solar insolation and subsidence typical of the season. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on small variations in northwest wind flow from the Red Sea, which modulates humidity and marine air advection, alongside the timing and extent of any afternoon cloud cover that could cap afternoon maxima. Historical August data show daily highs commonly span 36–40°C under similar regimes, with limited precipitation expected to keep conditions stable. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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