Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, reflecting late-summer climatology with average highs near 22–23°C and a cooling trend from mid-month peaks. High-pressure dominance supports clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spread around 21–23°C accounts for the market’s tight clustering on these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers due to the narrow uncertainty range typical 24–48 hours ahead. Updated runs from sources like the UK Met Office reinforce this consensus ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 25 agosto?
22°C 47%
23°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
47%
23°C
30%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
23°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
17°C or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$105 Vol.
1%
19°C
$68 Vol.
1%
20°C
$118 Vol.
4%
21°C
$224 Vol.
16%
22°C
$682 Vol.
47%
23°C
$192 Vol.
30%
24°C
$14 Vol.
7%
25°C
$70 Vol.
2%
26°C
$55 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, reflecting late-summer climatology with average highs near 22–23°C and a cooling trend from mid-month peaks. High-pressure dominance supports clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spread around 21–23°C accounts for the market’s tight clustering on these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers due to the narrow uncertainty range typical 24–48 hours ahead. Updated runs from sources like the UK Met Office reinforce this consensus ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,744Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, reflecting late-summer climatology with average highs near 22–23°C and a cooling trend from mid-month peaks. High-pressure dominance supports clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spread around 21–23°C accounts for the market’s tight clustering on these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers due to the narrow uncertainty range typical 24–48 hours ahead. Updated runs from sources like the UK Met Office reinforce this consensus ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,744Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, reflecting late-summer climatology with average highs near 22–23°C and a cooling trend from mid-month peaks. High-pressure dominance supports clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spread around 21–23°C accounts for the market’s tight clustering on these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers due to the narrow uncertainty range typical 24–48 hours ahead. Updated runs from sources like the UK Met Office reinforce this consensus ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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