Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and UK Met Office place London's maximum temperature on August 24 in a narrow 21–22°C band, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities. A ridge of high pressure is steering mild southwesterly flow with limited cloud cover and modest diurnal heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon sea breeze could easily tip the daily peak by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability around 20–22°C baselines, underscoring why traders assign lower weight to 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the consensus shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 24 agosto?
22°C 37%
21°C 33%
23°C 15%
20°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
33%
22°C
37%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 37%
21°C 33%
23°C 15%
20°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
17°C or below
$99 Vol.
2%
18°C
$116 Vol.
2%
19°C
$301 Vol.
3%
20°C
$699 Vol.
13%
21°C
$459 Vol.
33%
22°C
$1,911 Vol.
37%
23°C
$145 Vol.
15%
24°C
$222 Vol.
5%
25°C
$174 Vol.
1%
26°C
$61 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and UK Met Office place London's maximum temperature on August 24 in a narrow 21–22°C band, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities. A ridge of high pressure is steering mild southwesterly flow with limited cloud cover and modest diurnal heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon sea breeze could easily tip the daily peak by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability around 20–22°C baselines, underscoring why traders assign lower weight to 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the consensus shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,190Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and UK Met Office place London's maximum temperature on August 24 in a narrow 21–22°C band, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities. A ridge of high pressure is steering mild southwesterly flow with limited cloud cover and modest diurnal heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon sea breeze could easily tip the daily peak by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability around 20–22°C baselines, underscoring why traders assign lower weight to 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the consensus shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,190Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and UK Met Office place London's maximum temperature on August 24 in a narrow 21–22°C band, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities. A ridge of high pressure is steering mild southwesterly flow with limited cloud cover and modest diurnal heating, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon sea breeze could easily tip the daily peak by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology shows similar variability around 20–22°C baselines, underscoring why traders assign lower weight to 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the consensus shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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