**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22, 2026, centers on the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the clear favorite at 41% implied probability.** This reflects the Met Office and AccuWeather consensus for late-summer conditions moderating toward seasonal averages after earlier warmth. Daytime maxima are expected to reach 21–23°C under mostly cloudy or mixed skies with limited sunshine and possible light showers, suppressing stronger heating. Atmospheric steering patterns and a weak cold front influence have kept the jet stream positioned to deliver cooler maritime air, consistent with the current forecast runs showing little potential for 24°C or higher. Historical climatology supports this positioning: London's August average maximum sits near 22°C, and recent model guidance shows no significant upward revisions in the 48-hour window before the event. The tight clustering of probabilities around 21–23°C captures the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range UK summer forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any showers can alter the peak by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 22 agosto?
22°C 41%
21°C 28%
23°C 17%
20°C 5%
NUOVO
$14,707 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,707 Vol.
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
28%
22°C
41%
23°C
17%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 28%
23°C 17%
20°C 5%
NUOVO
$14,707 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,707 Vol.
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
$420 Vol.
1%
19°C
$449 Vol.
3%
20°C
$931 Vol.
5%
21°C
$1,994 Vol.
28%
22°C
$2,331 Vol.
41%
23°C
$1,674 Vol.
17%
24°C
$747 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,228 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,075 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,092 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22, 2026, centers on the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the clear favorite at 41% implied probability.** This reflects the Met Office and AccuWeather consensus for late-summer conditions moderating toward seasonal averages after earlier warmth. Daytime maxima are expected to reach 21–23°C under mostly cloudy or mixed skies with limited sunshine and possible light showers, suppressing stronger heating.
Atmospheric steering patterns and a weak cold front influence have kept the jet stream positioned to deliver cooler maritime air, consistent with the current forecast runs showing little potential for 24°C or higher. Historical climatology supports this positioning: London's August average maximum sits near 22°C, and recent model guidance shows no significant upward revisions in the 48-hour window before the event. The tight clustering of probabilities around 21–23°C captures the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range UK summer forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any showers can alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,707Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22, 2026, centers on the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the clear favorite at 41% implied probability.** This reflects the Met Office and AccuWeather consensus for late-summer conditions moderating toward seasonal averages after earlier warmth. Daytime maxima are expected to reach 21–23°C under mostly cloudy or mixed skies with limited sunshine and possible light showers, suppressing stronger heating.
Atmospheric steering patterns and a weak cold front influence have kept the jet stream positioned to deliver cooler maritime air, consistent with the current forecast runs showing little potential for 24°C or higher. Historical climatology supports this positioning: London's August average maximum sits near 22°C, and recent model guidance shows no significant upward revisions in the 48-hour window before the event. The tight clustering of probabilities around 21–23°C captures the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range UK summer forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any showers can alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,707Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 22, 2026, centers on the 21–23°C range, with 22°C as the clear favorite at 41% implied probability.** This reflects the Met Office and AccuWeather consensus for late-summer conditions moderating toward seasonal averages after earlier warmth. Daytime maxima are expected to reach 21–23°C under mostly cloudy or mixed skies with limited sunshine and possible light showers, suppressing stronger heating. Atmospheric steering patterns and a weak cold front influence have kept the jet stream positioned to deliver cooler maritime air, consistent with the current forecast runs showing little potential for 24°C or higher. Historical climatology supports this positioning: London's August average maximum sits near 22°C, and recent model guidance shows no significant upward revisions in the 48-hour window before the event. The tight clustering of probabilities around 21–23°C captures the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range UK summer forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any showers can alter the peak by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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