Forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional runs converge on a minimum of 12–15°C for São Paulo on August 25 under persistent overcast skies and light southeast winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining dew points near 11–13°C. High pressure and moderate humidity suppress clear-sky temperature drops typical of winter nights, while the urban heat island and recent climatological average lows near 12°C anchor trader probabilities. With leading outcomes tightly bunched, small differences hinge on exact timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief additional cooling before sunrise.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Paolo il 25 agosto?
13°C 29%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
9°C o inferiore
3%
10°C
8%
11°C
8%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
14%
18°C
7%
19°C o superiore
1%
13°C 29%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
9°C o inferiore
3%
10°C
8%
11°C
8%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
14%
18°C
7%
19°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional runs converge on a minimum of 12–15°C for São Paulo on August 25 under persistent overcast skies and light southeast winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining dew points near 11–13°C. High pressure and moderate humidity suppress clear-sky temperature drops typical of winter nights, while the urban heat island and recent climatological average lows near 12°C anchor trader probabilities. With leading outcomes tightly bunched, small differences hinge on exact timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief additional cooling before sunrise.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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