Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and global model guidance indicate a strengthening subtropical Pacific High will drive peak heating in Tokyo on August 25, favoring afternoon highs near 34–35 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 33–35 °C, as ensemble spreads show modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any diurnal cloud build-up. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and seasonal heatwave patterns add upward pressure, while light winds and high humidity limit rapid cooling. Updated short-range runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 32–36 °C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 25 agosto?
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$109 Vol.
4%
32°C
$183 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,095 Vol.
24%
34°C
$178 Vol.
33%
35°C
$60 Vol.
14%
36°C
$363 Vol.
4%
37°C
$152 Vol.
3%
38°C
$311 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$197 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and global model guidance indicate a strengthening subtropical Pacific High will drive peak heating in Tokyo on August 25, favoring afternoon highs near 34–35 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 33–35 °C, as ensemble spreads show modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any diurnal cloud build-up. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and seasonal heatwave patterns add upward pressure, while light winds and high humidity limit rapid cooling. Updated short-range runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 32–36 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,678Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and global model guidance indicate a strengthening subtropical Pacific High will drive peak heating in Tokyo on August 25, favoring afternoon highs near 34–35 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 33–35 °C, as ensemble spreads show modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any diurnal cloud build-up. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and seasonal heatwave patterns add upward pressure, while light winds and high humidity limit rapid cooling. Updated short-range runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 32–36 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,678Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and global model guidance indicate a strengthening subtropical Pacific High will drive peak heating in Tokyo on August 25, favoring afternoon highs near 34–35 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 33–35 °C, as ensemble spreads show modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any diurnal cloud build-up. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and seasonal heatwave patterns add upward pressure, while light winds and high humidity limit rapid cooling. Updated short-range runs and any late-day convective development remain the key variables that could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 32–36 °C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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