Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a modest cooling trend into late August, with Paris likely seeing a daily maximum near 26–27°C on the 25th amid variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. This positioning reflects the transition from mid-month warmth that briefly pushed readings above 29°C toward more typical late-summer conditions, consistent with Météo-France’s seasonal outlook favoring slightly above-average temperatures overall yet moderated by incoming Atlantic air. Key uncertainties include afternoon convective development that could suppress peak readings and subtle shifts in the 500 hPa ridge, which differentiate the closely matched 26°C and 28°C outcomes; updated high-resolution runs and official observations on the day will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 25 agosto?
27°C 31%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 31%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a modest cooling trend into late August, with Paris likely seeing a daily maximum near 26–27°C on the 25th amid variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. This positioning reflects the transition from mid-month warmth that briefly pushed readings above 29°C toward more typical late-summer conditions, consistent with Météo-France’s seasonal outlook favoring slightly above-average temperatures overall yet moderated by incoming Atlantic air. Key uncertainties include afternoon convective development that could suppress peak readings and subtle shifts in the 500 hPa ridge, which differentiate the closely matched 26°C and 28°C outcomes; updated high-resolution runs and official observations on the day will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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