Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for clear skies over Toronto on the night of August 25, supporting a minimum near 14 °C under light winds following a sunny 25 °C day. This baseline aligns with the market’s clustering of probability around 14–16 °C while the elevated 44 % weight on 11 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point forecasts, and any late-day cloud increases that could suppress radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows only modest shifts, keeping the distribution centered on mid-teens values consistent with late-August climatology. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 25 agosto?
11°C o inferiore 87%
12°C 41%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
87%
12°C
41%
13°C
8%
14°C
12%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
22%
18°C
7%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C o superiore
13%
11°C o inferiore 87%
12°C 41%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$150 Vol.
87%
12°C
$20 Vol.
41%
13°C
$71 Vol.
8%
14°C
$6 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$90 Vol.
5%
20°C
$150 Vol.
6%
21°C o superiore
$135 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for clear skies over Toronto on the night of August 25, supporting a minimum near 14 °C under light winds following a sunny 25 °C day. This baseline aligns with the market’s clustering of probability around 14–16 °C while the elevated 44 % weight on 11 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point forecasts, and any late-day cloud increases that could suppress radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows only modest shifts, keeping the distribution centered on mid-teens values consistent with late-August climatology. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$622Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for clear skies over Toronto on the night of August 25, supporting a minimum near 14 °C under light winds following a sunny 25 °C day. This baseline aligns with the market’s clustering of probability around 14–16 °C while the elevated 44 % weight on 11 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point forecasts, and any late-day cloud increases that could suppress radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows only modest shifts, keeping the distribution centered on mid-teens values consistent with late-August climatology. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$622Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for clear skies over Toronto on the night of August 25, supporting a minimum near 14 °C under light winds following a sunny 25 °C day. This baseline aligns with the market’s clustering of probability around 14–16 °C while the elevated 44 % weight on 11 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point forecasts, and any late-day cloud increases that could suppress radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional guidance shows only modest shifts, keeping the distribution centered on mid-teens values consistent with late-August climatology. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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