Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 24 agosto?
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
27%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$33 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
5%
29°C
$46 Vol.
10%
30°C
$56 Vol.
27%
31°C
$109 Vol.
38%
32°C
$37 Vol.
15%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$954Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$954Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to highs of 30–32°C for Incheon on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth. Persistent high humidity and weak steering flow have maintained above-normal temperatures across the Korean Peninsula following the early-August heatwave, though no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence is currently projected to alter the pattern before the target date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because they align closely with official short-range forecasts and historical analogs for the period, while higher or lower outcomes would require substantial shifts in model consensus or unexpected synoptic changes ahead of resolution. Updated KMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any adjustments in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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