Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 26 agosto?
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 18%
34°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
18%
33°C
12%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 18%
34°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$14 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$24 Vol.
31%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$15 Vol.
18%
33°C
$25 Vol.
12%
34°C
$5 Vol.
15%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$88Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven moisture and forecast cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the dominant factors capping Shenzhen's peak temperature near 30–32°C on August 26, aligning with the closely bunched market odds centered on those outcomes. Official guidance and model consensus point to scattered thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies that reduce surface solar heating while high humidity (typically 80–90%) and weak steering flow limit afternoon intensification. This pattern matches late-August climatology for the region, where convection frequently suppresses maxima below the seasonal 32°C average. Limited model spread suggests modest upside risk only if unexpected breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than projected; new forecast updates from Chinese meteorological services and global models over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti