Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 27°C for Beijing on August 26, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from peak summer values, with typical highs around 29–31°C, but model consensus shows moderation from precipitation timing and reduced insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C because small shifts in shower onset or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance carries typical uncertainty ranges of ±2°C at this lead time. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 26 agosto?
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
25°C 15%
28°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
26%
28°C
15%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
25°C 15%
28°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$376 Vol.
14%
25°C
$28 Vol.
15%
26°C
$5 Vol.
25%
27°C
$20 Vol.
26%
28°C
$81 Vol.
15%
29°C
$20 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$149 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 27°C for Beijing on August 26, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from peak summer values, with typical highs around 29–31°C, but model consensus shows moderation from precipitation timing and reduced insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C because small shifts in shower onset or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance carries typical uncertainty ranges of ±2°C at this lead time. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$694Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 27°C for Beijing on August 26, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from peak summer values, with typical highs around 29–31°C, but model consensus shows moderation from precipitation timing and reduced insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C because small shifts in shower onset or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance carries typical uncertainty ranges of ±2°C at this lead time. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$694Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 27°C for Beijing on August 26, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Late-August climatology features seasonal cooling from peak summer values, with typical highs around 29–31°C, but model consensus shows moderation from precipitation timing and reduced insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C because small shifts in shower onset or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range guidance carries typical uncertainty ranges of ±2°C at this lead time. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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