Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This follows a brief cooling trend after higher readings earlier in the week, placing the most likely outcomes in the 27–30°C range. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 45% implied probability and 28°C and 30°C each near 23%, reflects this guidance while incorporating typical model spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at the primary station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 26 agosto?
29°C 45%
30°C 23%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
45%
30°C
23%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 45%
30°C 23%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$40 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$42 Vol.
23%
29°C
$57 Vol.
45%
30°C
$201 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$81 Vol.
5%
33°C
$5 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This follows a brief cooling trend after higher readings earlier in the week, placing the most likely outcomes in the 27–30°C range. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 45% implied probability and 28°C and 30°C each near 23%, reflects this guidance while incorporating typical model spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$431Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This follows a brief cooling trend after higher readings earlier in the week, placing the most likely outcomes in the 27–30°C range. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 45% implied probability and 28°C and 30°C each near 23%, reflects this guidance while incorporating typical model spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$431Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This follows a brief cooling trend after higher readings earlier in the week, placing the most likely outcomes in the 27–30°C range. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 45% implied probability and 28°C and 30°C each near 23%, reflects this guidance while incorporating typical model spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at the primary station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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