Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 20°C in Helsinki on August 26, with light northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited warm-air advection limiting further warming. This consensus, aligned with the typical late-August decline in insolation and seasonal cooling of Baltic Sea-influenced air masses, underpins the tight 21°C (37%) and 22°C (35.5%) market shares. Small probability differences hinge on factors such as exact cloud timing reducing peak solar heating, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies or slightly stronger southerly flow could push toward 22°C, while increased marine influence or earlier cloud build-up favors 20°C or below. Historical late-August averages near 18–19°C provide additional context for the low odds on extremes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 26 agosto?
21°C 37%
22°C 36%
20°C 17%
23°C 11%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
17%
21°C
37%
22°C
36%
23°C
11%
24°C o superiore
3%
21°C 37%
22°C 36%
20°C 17%
23°C 11%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
17%
21°C
37%
22°C
36%
23°C
11%
24°C o superiore
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 20°C in Helsinki on August 26, with light northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited warm-air advection limiting further warming. This consensus, aligned with the typical late-August decline in insolation and seasonal cooling of Baltic Sea-influenced air masses, underpins the tight 21°C (37%) and 22°C (35.5%) market shares. Small probability differences hinge on factors such as exact cloud timing reducing peak solar heating, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies or slightly stronger southerly flow could push toward 22°C, while increased marine influence or earlier cloud build-up favors 20°C or below. Historical late-August averages near 18–19°C provide additional context for the low odds on extremes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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