Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European centers forecast overnight lows of 10–13°C for Helsinki on August 26, consistent with the seasonal decline in minimum temperatures through late August. This range aligns with current observational trends showing recent nights near 11°C and supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 7°C or below reflects residual model spread from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential cooler maritime air intrusions. Historical climatology indicates typical late-August lows near 9–11°C, with forecasts remaining well above extremes; fresh model runs and updated guidance ahead of the date will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 26 agosto?
7°C or below 95%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 50%
11°C 49%
7°C or below
95%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
50%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
35%
15°C
2%
16°C
35%
17°C or higher
55%
7°C or below 95%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 50%
11°C 49%
7°C or below
95%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
50%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
35%
15°C
2%
16°C
35%
17°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European centers forecast overnight lows of 10–13°C for Helsinki on August 26, consistent with the seasonal decline in minimum temperatures through late August. This range aligns with current observational trends showing recent nights near 11°C and supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 7°C or below reflects residual model spread from variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential cooler maritime air intrusions. Historical climatology indicates typical late-August lows near 9–11°C, with forecasts remaining well above extremes; fresh model runs and updated guidance ahead of the date will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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