Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 23 agosto?
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 41%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 41%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
$267 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$348 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$380 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$421 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$629 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$836 Vol.
41%
76-77°F
$925 Vol.
42%
78-79°F
$711 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$380 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
84°F o superiore
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,259Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,259Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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