Northwesterly flow advecting cooler Canadian air, combined with mostly clear skies overnight, drives the tight clustering around 58–61°F for Chicago’s August 23 minimum. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate radiational cooling under light winds will allow temperatures to drop below the 64°F climatological normal, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence caps how far readings fall. Minor model spread in wind direction, dewpoint recovery, and any residual cloud cover differentiates the leading 60–61°F (37.5%) and 58–59°F (35.5%) bins, with 62–63°F (19.5%) reflecting slightly warmer boundary-layer scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 23rd will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 23 agosto?
60-61°F 41%
58-59°F 35%
62-63°F 19%
68-69°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
51°F o inferiore
2%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
41%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
14%
70°F o superiore
4%
60-61°F 41%
58-59°F 35%
62-63°F 19%
68-69°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
51°F o inferiore
$12 Vol.
2%
52-53°F
$6 Vol.
8%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
10%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
14%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
35%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
41%
62-63°F
$20 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
14%
70°F o superiore
$45 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly flow advecting cooler Canadian air, combined with mostly clear skies overnight, drives the tight clustering around 58–61°F for Chicago’s August 23 minimum. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate radiational cooling under light winds will allow temperatures to drop below the 64°F climatological normal, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence caps how far readings fall. Minor model spread in wind direction, dewpoint recovery, and any residual cloud cover differentiates the leading 60–61°F (37.5%) and 58–59°F (35.5%) bins, with 62–63°F (19.5%) reflecting slightly warmer boundary-layer scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 23rd will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$103Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly flow advecting cooler Canadian air, combined with mostly clear skies overnight, drives the tight clustering around 58–61°F for Chicago’s August 23 minimum. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate radiational cooling under light winds will allow temperatures to drop below the 64°F climatological normal, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence caps how far readings fall. Minor model spread in wind direction, dewpoint recovery, and any residual cloud cover differentiates the leading 60–61°F (37.5%) and 58–59°F (35.5%) bins, with 62–63°F (19.5%) reflecting slightly warmer boundary-layer scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 23rd will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$103Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly flow advecting cooler Canadian air, combined with mostly clear skies overnight, drives the tight clustering around 58–61°F for Chicago’s August 23 minimum. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate radiational cooling under light winds will allow temperatures to drop below the 64°F climatological normal, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence caps how far readings fall. Minor model spread in wind direction, dewpoint recovery, and any residual cloud cover differentiates the leading 60–61°F (37.5%) and 58–59°F (35.5%) bins, with 62–63°F (19.5%) reflecting slightly warmer boundary-layer scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 23rd will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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