Trader sentiment for Panama City's August 25 minimum temperature reflects substantial uncertainty in the wet-season environment, with the 21°C-or-below outcome leading at 34.5% amid closely bunched probabilities across the 23–28°C range. Persistent high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and variable trade-wind patterns limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping typical lows near 24–26°C. Afternoon thunderstorms or passing tropical waves can either suppress overnight minima through added moisture or allow brief clear spells for greater cooling. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone create the observed dispersion, with traders weighting historical August variability and any late-August shifts in regional moisture transport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 25 agosto?
21°C o inferiore 69%
31°C o superiore 59%
25°C 48%
28°C 47%
21°C o inferiore
69%
22°C
42%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
47%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C o superiore
59%
21°C o inferiore 69%
31°C o superiore 59%
25°C 48%
28°C 47%
21°C o inferiore
69%
22°C
42%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
47%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C o superiore
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Panama City's August 25 minimum temperature reflects substantial uncertainty in the wet-season environment, with the 21°C-or-below outcome leading at 34.5% amid closely bunched probabilities across the 23–28°C range. Persistent high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and variable trade-wind patterns limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping typical lows near 24–26°C. Afternoon thunderstorms or passing tropical waves can either suppress overnight minima through added moisture or allow brief clear spells for greater cooling. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone create the observed dispersion, with traders weighting historical August variability and any late-August shifts in regional moisture transport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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