**Trader sentiment for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 26 centers on 32°C (48.5% implied probability) and 31°C (27%), reflecting the narrow range typical of the city-state’s equatorial climate in late August.** Singapore’s August daily maxima usually average 30–32°C, with recent NEA guidance indicating 33–34°C on most days in the second half of the month and occasional peaks near 35°C under clearer skies. Drier regional conditions and reduced cloud cover in recent weeks have supported this slight upward bias, while localized afternoon thundery showers—common in the equatorial monsoon transition—can limit peak readings by increasing cloudiness and evaporative cooling. Current model consensus and historical variability place the most probable outcomes in the 31–33°C band, with 32°C emerging as the modal value. Lower-probability tails (34°C+ or 30°C and below) align with less likely scenarios of stronger insolation or more persistent shower activity. Resolution will depend on official observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore network, which records the daily maximum across representative stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Singapore il 26 agosto?
32°C 49%
31°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
49%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
49%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 26 centers on 32°C (48.5% implied probability) and 31°C (27%), reflecting the narrow range typical of the city-state’s equatorial climate in late August.** Singapore’s August daily maxima usually average 30–32°C, with recent NEA guidance indicating 33–34°C on most days in the second half of the month and occasional peaks near 35°C under clearer skies. Drier regional conditions and reduced cloud cover in recent weeks have supported this slight upward bias, while localized afternoon thundery showers—common in the equatorial monsoon transition—can limit peak readings by increasing cloudiness and evaporative cooling. Current model consensus and historical variability place the most probable outcomes in the 31–33°C band, with 32°C emerging as the modal value. Lower-probability tails (34°C+ or 30°C and below) align with less likely scenarios of stronger insolation or more persistent shower activity. Resolution will depend on official observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore network, which records the daily maximum across representative stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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