Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models point to a high-pressure system (wyż) advecting warmer southeasterly air masses over Warsaw, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C on August 28 under mostly clear skies with light winds. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks cluster tightly between 25–27°C, consistent with historical late-August averages around 21–25°C but elevated by the current anticyclonic pattern. This distribution underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model runs and morning observations from Warsaw stations will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 28 agosto?
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 11%
24°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
36%
26°C
44%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 11%
24°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$116 Vol.
1%
23°C
$204 Vol.
1%
24°C
$454 Vol.
6%
25°C
$393 Vol.
36%
26°C
$502 Vol.
44%
27°C
$384 Vol.
11%
28°C
$232 Vol.
3%
29°C
$180 Vol.
2%
30°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models point to a high-pressure system (wyż) advecting warmer southeasterly air masses over Warsaw, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C on August 28 under mostly clear skies with light winds. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks cluster tightly between 25–27°C, consistent with historical late-August averages around 21–25°C but elevated by the current anticyclonic pattern. This distribution underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model runs and morning observations from Warsaw stations will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,768Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models point to a high-pressure system (wyż) advecting warmer southeasterly air masses over Warsaw, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C on August 28 under mostly clear skies with light winds. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks cluster tightly between 25–27°C, consistent with historical late-August averages around 21–25°C but elevated by the current anticyclonic pattern. This distribution underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model runs and morning observations from Warsaw stations will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,768Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models point to a high-pressure system (wyż) advecting warmer southeasterly air masses over Warsaw, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C on August 28 under mostly clear skies with light winds. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks cluster tightly between 25–27°C, consistent with historical late-August averages around 21–25°C but elevated by the current anticyclonic pattern. This distribution underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model runs and morning observations from Warsaw stations will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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