**Strong model consensus from numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, supports the market's near-certain pricing on a 13°C minimum for Warsaw on August 28, 2026.** Overnight conditions feature clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa, promoting radiational cooling after daytime highs of 23–26°C. Hourly forecasts show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the early morning hours before rebounding, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average around 15°C. Traders view this alignment across multiple model cycles as highly reliable given the stable synoptic pattern. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift that limits cooling, pushing the observed minimum above 14°C at the official reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 28 agosto?
13°C 99%
10°C 6%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
$1,684 Vol.
$1,684 Vol.
28 ago 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99%
10°C 6%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
$1,684 Vol.
$1,684 Vol.
28 ago 2026
9°C or below
$89 Vol.
1%
10°C
$143 Vol.
6%
11°C
$70 Vol.
2%
12°C
$75 Vol.
2%
13°C
$144 Vol.
99%
14°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, supports the market's near-certain pricing on a 13°C minimum for Warsaw on August 28, 2026.** Overnight conditions feature clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa, promoting radiational cooling after daytime highs of 23–26°C. Hourly forecasts show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the early morning hours before rebounding, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average around 15°C. Traders view this alignment across multiple model cycles as highly reliable given the stable synoptic pattern. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift that limits cooling, pushing the observed minimum above 14°C at the official reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,684Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, supports the market's near-certain pricing on a 13°C minimum for Warsaw on August 28, 2026.** Overnight conditions feature clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa, promoting radiational cooling after daytime highs of 23–26°C. Hourly forecasts show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the early morning hours before rebounding, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average around 15°C. Traders view this alignment across multiple model cycles as highly reliable given the stable synoptic pattern. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift that limits cooling, pushing the observed minimum above 14°C at the official reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,684Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus from numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS-based guidance, supports the market's near-certain pricing on a 13°C minimum for Warsaw on August 28, 2026.** Overnight conditions feature clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and high pressure near 1020 hPa, promoting radiational cooling after daytime highs of 23–26°C. Hourly forecasts show temperatures bottoming near 14–15°C in the early morning hours before rebounding, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average around 15°C. Traders view this alignment across multiple model cycles as highly reliable given the stable synoptic pattern. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover or a wind shift that limits cooling, pushing the observed minimum above 14°C at the official reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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