Recent forecasts from multiple models show a mild overnight low near 17°C in Paris on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, with 18°C and 16°C close behind as plausible outcomes under slight variations in timing or intensity of precipitation. Warmer air advection and elevated humidity further reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 16°C, while historical August averages near 14°C are outweighed by the current stable pattern. Updated model runs ahead of dawn on the 28th remain the key data point for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 28 agosto?
17°C 53%
18°C 31%
16°C 19%
19°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
53%
18°C
31%
19°C
5%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 53%
18°C 31%
16°C 19%
19°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$196 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$181 Vol.
5%
16°C
$535 Vol.
19%
17°C
$566 Vol.
53%
18°C
$406 Vol.
31%
19°C
$344 Vol.
5%
20°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show a mild overnight low near 17°C in Paris on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, with 18°C and 16°C close behind as plausible outcomes under slight variations in timing or intensity of precipitation. Warmer air advection and elevated humidity further reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 16°C, while historical August averages near 14°C are outweighed by the current stable pattern. Updated model runs ahead of dawn on the 28th remain the key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,105Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show a mild overnight low near 17°C in Paris on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, with 18°C and 16°C close behind as plausible outcomes under slight variations in timing or intensity of precipitation. Warmer air advection and elevated humidity further reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 16°C, while historical August averages near 14°C are outweighed by the current stable pattern. Updated model runs ahead of dawn on the 28th remain the key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,105Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show a mild overnight low near 17°C in Paris on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwest flow that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 48% implied probability, with 18°C and 16°C close behind as plausible outcomes under slight variations in timing or intensity of precipitation. Warmer air advection and elevated humidity further reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 16°C, while historical August averages near 14°C are outweighed by the current stable pattern. Updated model runs ahead of dawn on the 28th remain the key data point for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti