Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 29, supporting the market's 91% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observations show mild overnight conditions with temperatures stabilizing near 17°C amid southerly winds and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer patterns where average lows reach about 13.5°C but current setups trend warmer. Official agencies track these via surface stations and ensemble models, which show limited divergence on overnight minima. A realistic shift toward 16°C or lower would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies enhancing heat loss, though no such revision appears imminent before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 29 agosto?
17°C 94%
16°C 8%
14°C 2%
13°C 1.0%
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
94%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 94%
16°C 8%
14°C 2%
13°C 1.0%
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
94%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 29, supporting the market's 91% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observations show mild overnight conditions with temperatures stabilizing near 17°C amid southerly winds and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer patterns where average lows reach about 13.5°C but current setups trend warmer. Official agencies track these via surface stations and ensemble models, which show limited divergence on overnight minima. A realistic shift toward 16°C or lower would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies enhancing heat loss, though no such revision appears imminent before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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