Recent northerly and northwesterly flows across central New Zealand have delivered milder late-winter air to Wellington, with official MetService guidance pointing to a mainly fine Saturday, August 29, and a daytime maximum near 14 °C under strengthening northwest winds. Numerical models show modest spread around this value, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and the timing of any weak frontal passage that could trim or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August highs between 11–13 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above average, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (69.5 %) while leaving room for 14 °C or 16 °C outcomes depending on the final observed maximum at the official station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 29 agosto?
15°C 70%
14°C 16%
16°C 15%
17°C 3%
$29,326 Vol.
$29,326 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
70%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 70%
14°C 16%
16°C 15%
17°C 3%
$29,326 Vol.
$29,326 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
70%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly and northwesterly flows across central New Zealand have delivered milder late-winter air to Wellington, with official MetService guidance pointing to a mainly fine Saturday, August 29, and a daytime maximum near 14 °C under strengthening northwest winds. Numerical models show modest spread around this value, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and the timing of any weak frontal passage that could trim or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August highs between 11–13 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above average, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (69.5 %) while leaving room for 14 °C or 16 °C outcomes depending on the final observed maximum at the official station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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