**Trader consensus around 32°C as the daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 28 aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 28–32°C under a southwest monsoon flow and broad low-pressure trough.** Scattered showers and thunderstorms, heaviest earlier in the day, have limited solar heating while brief sunny intervals allow temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the range. Midday station readings of 30–33°C across urban and suburban sites reflect typical August conditions near the 31°C climatological average, with high humidity (70–95%) and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 32°C but cloud cover and precipitation capping further rises. Model guidance and official outlooks show no strong signals for 33°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low implied probability. Resolution depends on the Observatory’s official daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 28 agosto?
32°C 57%
31°C 35%
33°C 10%
34°C <1%
$60,785 Vol.
$60,785 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
35%
32°C
57%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 35%
33°C 10%
34°C <1%
$60,785 Vol.
$60,785 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
35%
32°C
57%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 32°C as the daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 28 aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 28–32°C under a southwest monsoon flow and broad low-pressure trough.** Scattered showers and thunderstorms, heaviest earlier in the day, have limited solar heating while brief sunny intervals allow temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the range. Midday station readings of 30–33°C across urban and suburban sites reflect typical August conditions near the 31°C climatological average, with high humidity (70–95%) and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 32°C but cloud cover and precipitation capping further rises. Model guidance and official outlooks show no strong signals for 33°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at low implied probability. Resolution depends on the Observatory’s official daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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