**Persistent hot, humid conditions driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast have kept overnight cooling minimal, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory readings show a daily minimum of 28.2°C at the main station, with regional stations recording 27–29°C lows amid light west-southwest winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers that failed to produce widespread cooling. Daytime highs reached ~33°C under partly cloudy skies with brief sun and thunderstorms, consistent with climatological late-August patterns where typical minima hover near 25–26°C but elevated dew points and weak steering flow limit radiative cooling. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air or significantly heavier, sustained rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling—developments not indicated in current model consensus or observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 29 agosto?
28°C 95%
27°C 5%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
$16,707 Vol.
$16,707 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 95%
27°C 5%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
$16,707 Vol.
$16,707 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$268 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,053 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,555 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,434 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,080 Vol.
5%
28°C
$6,205 Vol.
95%
29°C
$3,016 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent hot, humid conditions driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast have kept overnight cooling minimal, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.**
Official Hong Kong Observatory readings show a daily minimum of 28.2°C at the main station, with regional stations recording 27–29°C lows amid light west-southwest winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers that failed to produce widespread cooling. Daytime highs reached ~33°C under partly cloudy skies with brief sun and thunderstorms, consistent with climatological late-August patterns where typical minima hover near 25–26°C but elevated dew points and weak steering flow limit radiative cooling.
The 94.5% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air or significantly heavier, sustained rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling—developments not indicated in current model consensus or observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,707Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent hot, humid conditions driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast have kept overnight cooling minimal, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.**
Official Hong Kong Observatory readings show a daily minimum of 28.2°C at the main station, with regional stations recording 27–29°C lows amid light west-southwest winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers that failed to produce widespread cooling. Daytime highs reached ~33°C under partly cloudy skies with brief sun and thunderstorms, consistent with climatological late-August patterns where typical minima hover near 25–26°C but elevated dew points and weak steering flow limit radiative cooling.
The 94.5% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air or significantly heavier, sustained rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling—developments not indicated in current model consensus or observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,707Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent hot, humid conditions driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast have kept overnight cooling minimal, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory readings show a daily minimum of 28.2°C at the main station, with regional stations recording 27–29°C lows amid light west-southwest winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers that failed to produce widespread cooling. Daytime highs reached ~33°C under partly cloudy skies with brief sun and thunderstorms, consistent with climatological late-August patterns where typical minima hover near 25–26°C but elevated dew points and weak steering flow limit radiative cooling. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air or significantly heavier, sustained rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling—developments not indicated in current model consensus or observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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