Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C for Munich on August 29, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and modest shower chances that limit solar heating and keep peaks near the long-term average of 22.8°C. Trader consensus favoring 24–25°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud evolution and potential model underestimation of clearing, while the modest probability for 26°C accounts for historical outliers when subsidence strengthens. With resolution hinging on the official peak reading from Munich’s primary station, updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether surface heating exceeds the current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 29 agosto?
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C for Munich on August 29, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and modest shower chances that limit solar heating and keep peaks near the long-term average of 22.8°C. Trader consensus favoring 24–25°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud evolution and potential model underestimation of clearing, while the modest probability for 26°C accounts for historical outliers when subsidence strengthens. With resolution hinging on the official peak reading from Munich’s primary station, updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether surface heating exceeds the current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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