Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models show the overnight minimum into August 29 likely reaching 13–14°C under partly clear skies and light northwest winds before southerly flow strengthens, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels versus a milder 19°C-or-higher outcome. Radiative cooling rates, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing tied to the shift from northerly to southwesterly winds remain the key variables separating the leading probabilities. Historical climatology places the average daily low near 16.5°C, but current guidance indicates below-normal values driven by the preceding cooler airmass. Updated model runs and official morning observations from Toronto Pearson will provide the next high-resolution data points for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 29 agosto?
19°C o superiore 64%
14°C 32%
13°C 30%
12°C 27%
9°C o inferiore
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
21%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
32%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C
26%
19°C o superiore
64%
19°C o superiore 64%
14°C 32%
13°C 30%
12°C 27%
9°C o inferiore
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
21%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
32%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C
26%
19°C o superiore
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models show the overnight minimum into August 29 likely reaching 13–14°C under partly clear skies and light northwest winds before southerly flow strengthens, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels versus a milder 19°C-or-higher outcome. Radiative cooling rates, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing tied to the shift from northerly to southwesterly winds remain the key variables separating the leading probabilities. Historical climatology places the average daily low near 16.5°C, but current guidance indicates below-normal values driven by the preceding cooler airmass. Updated model runs and official morning observations from Toronto Pearson will provide the next high-resolution data points for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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