A warm, dry continental air mass is driving elevated temperatures across São Paulo ahead of a frontal passage, with official forecasts and model guidance showing daytime maxima on August 30 likely peaking between 30–34 °C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow. This represents a significant departure from the long-term August average high near 23–25 °C. Trader consensus clusters around 30–32 °C because numerical models exhibit modest spread in peak heating tied to subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification. Higher outcomes above 34 °C remain possible only if insolation remains uninterrupted and winds stay light; lower readings near 29 °C or below would require earlier cloud cover or a faster wind shift. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon of the 30th will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 30 agosto?
31°C 22%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
33°C 13%
28°C o inferiore
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
13%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 22%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
33°C 13%
28°C o inferiore
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
13%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry continental air mass is driving elevated temperatures across São Paulo ahead of a frontal passage, with official forecasts and model guidance showing daytime maxima on August 30 likely peaking between 30–34 °C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow. This represents a significant departure from the long-term August average high near 23–25 °C. Trader consensus clusters around 30–32 °C because numerical models exhibit modest spread in peak heating tied to subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification. Higher outcomes above 34 °C remain possible only if insolation remains uninterrupted and winds stay light; lower readings near 29 °C or below would require earlier cloud cover or a faster wind shift. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon of the 30th will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti