Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation expected. This places the most likely outcome in the middle bins of the market, yet equal implied probabilities across all temperature ranges reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in peak values. Chengdu’s Sichuan basin location favors heat retention and high humidity, while late-August monsoon dynamics, variable cloud cover from passing troughs, and subtle steering by the Western Pacific Subtropical High can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °C. Recent cooling from showers on August 28–29 has given way to clearer, warmer conditions, but model runs still differ on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 31 agosto?
37°C 33%
39°C or higher 32%
38°C 28%
35°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
18%
35°C
22%
36°C
19%
37°C
33%
38°C
28%
39°C or higher
32%
37°C 33%
39°C or higher 32%
38°C 28%
35°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
16%
34°C
$0 Vol.
18%
35°C
$0 Vol.
22%
36°C
$0 Vol.
19%
37°C
$0 Vol.
33%
38°C
$0 Vol.
28%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation expected. This places the most likely outcome in the middle bins of the market, yet equal implied probabilities across all temperature ranges reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in peak values. Chengdu’s Sichuan basin location favors heat retention and high humidity, while late-August monsoon dynamics, variable cloud cover from passing troughs, and subtle steering by the Western Pacific Subtropical High can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °C. Recent cooling from showers on August 28–29 has given way to clearer, warmer conditions, but model runs still differ on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation expected. This places the most likely outcome in the middle bins of the market, yet equal implied probabilities across all temperature ranges reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in peak values. Chengdu’s Sichuan basin location favors heat retention and high humidity, while late-August monsoon dynamics, variable cloud cover from passing troughs, and subtle steering by the Western Pacific Subtropical High can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °C. Recent cooling from showers on August 28–29 has given way to clearer, warmer conditions, but model runs still differ on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation expected. This places the most likely outcome in the middle bins of the market, yet equal implied probabilities across all temperature ranges reflect genuine short-range uncertainty in peak values. Chengdu’s Sichuan basin location favors heat retention and high humidity, while late-August monsoon dynamics, variable cloud cover from passing troughs, and subtle steering by the Western Pacific Subtropical High can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °C. Recent cooling from showers on August 28–29 has given way to clearer, warmer conditions, but model runs still differ on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Official station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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