Current forecasts for Milan on August 31 indicate clear skies under high pressure, with light westerly winds and strong daytime insolation supporting a maximum temperature near 31–32 °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on afternoon peaks in this narrow band after overnight lows around 22 °C, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that limit cloud formation and moisture advection. The near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of peak solar heating, while lower probabilities for 32 °C or higher capture the smaller chance of slightly stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will narrow the precise resolution threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 31 agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Milan on August 31 indicate clear skies under high pressure, with light westerly winds and strong daytime insolation supporting a maximum temperature near 31–32 °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on afternoon peaks in this narrow band after overnight lows around 22 °C, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that limit cloud formation and moisture advection. The near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of peak solar heating, while lower probabilities for 32 °C or higher capture the smaller chance of slightly stronger insolation or reduced ventilation. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will narrow the precise resolution threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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