Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and national forecasts, indicate a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Milan on August 29 under clearing high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest surface heating. This consensus positions 30 °C as the market leader at 44.5 % implied probability, with 29 °C close behind, while the modest 13 % chance for 31 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread and potential for localized urban heat effects. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no strong warm advection, keeping probabilities for 32 °C or higher very low. Traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical late-August variability in the Po Valley ahead of the day’s final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 29 agosto?
30°C 44%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
33%
30°C
44%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
23°C or below
$389 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$70 Vol.
3%
28°C
$379 Vol.
7%
29°C
$675 Vol.
33%
30°C
$351 Vol.
44%
31°C
$916 Vol.
13%
32°C
$217 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and national forecasts, indicate a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Milan on August 29 under clearing high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest surface heating. This consensus positions 30 °C as the market leader at 44.5 % implied probability, with 29 °C close behind, while the modest 13 % chance for 31 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread and potential for localized urban heat effects. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no strong warm advection, keeping probabilities for 32 °C or higher very low. Traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical late-August variability in the Po Valley ahead of the day’s final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,752Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and national forecasts, indicate a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Milan on August 29 under clearing high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest surface heating. This consensus positions 30 °C as the market leader at 44.5 % implied probability, with 29 °C close behind, while the modest 13 % chance for 31 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread and potential for localized urban heat effects. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no strong warm advection, keeping probabilities for 32 °C or higher very low. Traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical late-August variability in the Po Valley ahead of the day’s final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,752Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and national forecasts, indicate a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Milan on August 29 under clearing high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest surface heating. This consensus positions 30 °C as the market leader at 44.5 % implied probability, with 29 °C close behind, while the modest 13 % chance for 31 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread and potential for localized urban heat effects. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no strong warm advection, keeping probabilities for 32 °C or higher very low. Traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical late-August variability in the Po Valley ahead of the day’s final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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