**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local meteorological updates, converge on an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for Qingdao on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, moist air mass under the subtropical high.** Light easterly to variable winds, high humidity (70–90%), and scattered cloud cover limit radiational cooling, keeping temperatures elevated above the August climatological low of ~22°C. A gradual wind shift toward northerlies expected after the 28th may introduce modest cooling later, but it arrives too late to affect the 28th minimum. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and any isolated showers create the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24–26°C, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the low likelihood of significant departures from this stable pattern.