Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Karachi on August 29, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C (46%) and 32°C (29.5%) outcomes. Persistent westerly winds of 15–20 mph, combined with high humidity (65–80%) and variable cloud cover, are moderating peak temperatures during the late-monsoon period. Historical averages for the date hover near 31°C, while recent August observations show daily maxima mostly between 29–32°C under similar atmospheric conditions. Model consensus points to limited intensification potential, with no strong signals for either a heat spike or significant cooling ahead of the date. Traders appear to be weighting these stable, near-normal patterns heavily in the implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 29 agosto?
31°C 48%
32°C 29%
30°C 14%
33°C 6%
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
48%
32°C
29%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 29%
30°C 14%
33°C 6%
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
48%
32°C
29%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Karachi on August 29, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C (46%) and 32°C (29.5%) outcomes. Persistent westerly winds of 15–20 mph, combined with high humidity (65–80%) and variable cloud cover, are moderating peak temperatures during the late-monsoon period. Historical averages for the date hover near 31°C, while recent August observations show daily maxima mostly between 29–32°C under similar atmospheric conditions. Model consensus points to limited intensification potential, with no strong signals for either a heat spike or significant cooling ahead of the date. Traders appear to be weighting these stable, near-normal patterns heavily in the implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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