Trader consensus favors 24–25°C as London’s highest temperature on August 27, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models. The Met Office and ECMWF ensembles currently depict a weakening Atlantic low-pressure system giving way to a transient high-pressure ridge, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly winds could allow modest daytime warming above seasonal norms. Historical late-August maxima average near 22°C, yet recent model runs show ensemble spreads centered on 23–26°C due to variable sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and subtle shifts in upper-level steering. Updated forecast guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 27 agosto?
25°C 32%
24°C 28%
26°C 18%
23°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
28%
25°C
32%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 32%
24°C 28%
26°C 18%
23°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
18°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$56 Vol.
2%
22°C
$126 Vol.
5%
23°C
$244 Vol.
10%
24°C
$323 Vol.
28%
25°C
$181 Vol.
32%
26°C
$161 Vol.
18%
27°C
$57 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 24–25°C as London’s highest temperature on August 27, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models. The Met Office and ECMWF ensembles currently depict a weakening Atlantic low-pressure system giving way to a transient high-pressure ridge, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly winds could allow modest daytime warming above seasonal norms. Historical late-August maxima average near 22°C, yet recent model runs show ensemble spreads centered on 23–26°C due to variable sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and subtle shifts in upper-level steering. Updated forecast guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,147Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 24–25°C as London’s highest temperature on August 27, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models. The Met Office and ECMWF ensembles currently depict a weakening Atlantic low-pressure system giving way to a transient high-pressure ridge, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly winds could allow modest daytime warming above seasonal norms. Historical late-August maxima average near 22°C, yet recent model runs show ensemble spreads centered on 23–26°C due to variable sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and subtle shifts in upper-level steering. Updated forecast guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,147Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 24–25°C as London’s highest temperature on August 27, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models. The Met Office and ECMWF ensembles currently depict a weakening Atlantic low-pressure system giving way to a transient high-pressure ridge, where reduced cloud cover and light southerly winds could allow modest daytime warming above seasonal norms. Historical late-August maxima average near 22°C, yet recent model runs show ensemble spreads centered on 23–26°C due to variable sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea and subtle shifts in upper-level steering. Updated forecast guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti