Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 27 agosto?
31°C 34%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
25°C or below
$479 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$166 Vol.
1%
28°C
$110 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5 Vol.
8%
30°C
$7 Vol.
19%
31°C
$46 Vol.
34%
32°C
$66 Vol.
21%
33°C
$108 Vol.
11%
34°C
$54 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$49 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,619Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,619Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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