The active southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon drives the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C odds, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and enhanced moisture limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near typical August values. PAGASA guidance points to a 29°C high for Manila on August 27 amid ongoing convective activity, while broader model consensus and climatological baselines allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 30–31°C depending on rain timing and urban heat retention. Traders weigh these variables against historical monsoon variability, where afternoon convection often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C but leaves room for slight upward revisions in the final 48-hour forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 27 agosto?
31°C 34%
30°C 33%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C
34%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 33%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
$1,553 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$23 Vol.
5%
29°C
$14 Vol.
14%
30°C
$72 Vol.
33%
31°C
$307 Vol.
34%
32°C
$155 Vol.
16%
33°C
$60 Vol.
4%
34°C
$70 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon drives the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C odds, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and enhanced moisture limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near typical August values. PAGASA guidance points to a 29°C high for Manila on August 27 amid ongoing convective activity, while broader model consensus and climatological baselines allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 30–31°C depending on rain timing and urban heat retention. Traders weigh these variables against historical monsoon variability, where afternoon convection often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C but leaves room for slight upward revisions in the final 48-hour forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$2,479Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon drives the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C odds, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and enhanced moisture limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near typical August values. PAGASA guidance points to a 29°C high for Manila on August 27 amid ongoing convective activity, while broader model consensus and climatological baselines allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 30–31°C depending on rain timing and urban heat retention. Traders weigh these variables against historical monsoon variability, where afternoon convection often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C but leaves room for slight upward revisions in the final 48-hour forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,479Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon drives the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C odds, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and enhanced moisture limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near typical August values. PAGASA guidance points to a 29°C high for Manila on August 27 amid ongoing convective activity, while broader model consensus and climatological baselines allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 30–31°C depending on rain timing and urban heat retention. Traders weigh these variables against historical monsoon variability, where afternoon convection often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C but leaves room for slight upward revisions in the final 48-hour forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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