Forecast consensus from numerical weather models places Milan's peak temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% and 30% for those exact outcomes. Scattered clouds and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms, driven by modest instability and easterly flow, are expected to limit solar heating and cap the diurnal maximum, while light winds and high humidity further moderate surface temperatures. Typical late-August conditions in the Po Valley feature highs around 27–29°C under clearer anticyclonic regimes, but recent model runs show increased convective activity that favors the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations on the day will refine resolution criteria tied to precise maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 25 agosto?
27°C 37%
28°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
37%
28°C
30%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 37%
28°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
37%
28°C
30%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical weather models places Milan's peak temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% and 30% for those exact outcomes. Scattered clouds and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms, driven by modest instability and easterly flow, are expected to limit solar heating and cap the diurnal maximum, while light winds and high humidity further moderate surface temperatures. Typical late-August conditions in the Po Valley feature highs around 27–29°C under clearer anticyclonic regimes, but recent model runs show increased convective activity that favors the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution forecasts and official observations on the day will refine resolution criteria tied to precise maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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