Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon drives the closely matched probabilities around 24–27°C for Manila’s August 27 low, as PAGASA models show persistent cloudiness, scattered showers, and thunderstorms moderating overnight cooling. High humidity and frequent precipitation limit radiative heat loss at night while evaporative cooling and wind mixing introduce variability in the exact minimum. With no strong tropical cyclone influence expected in the immediate forecast window and typical August baselines near 25–27°C, trader consensus clusters on these values pending updated PAGASA model runs and real-time observations through the 26th.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 27 agosto?
24°C 47%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
31°C o superiore 47%
21°C o inferiore
6%
22°C
19%
23°C
40%
24°C
47%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
47%
24°C 47%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
31°C o superiore 47%
21°C o inferiore
6%
22°C
19%
23°C
40%
24°C
47%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon drives the closely matched probabilities around 24–27°C for Manila’s August 27 low, as PAGASA models show persistent cloudiness, scattered showers, and thunderstorms moderating overnight cooling. High humidity and frequent precipitation limit radiative heat loss at night while evaporative cooling and wind mixing introduce variability in the exact minimum. With no strong tropical cyclone influence expected in the immediate forecast window and typical August baselines near 25–27°C, trader consensus clusters on these values pending updated PAGASA model runs and real-time observations through the 26th.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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