Recent ensemble guidance from global and regional models points to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Qingdao on August 27, consistent with trader weighting around those outcomes. Late-summer subtropical high pressure combined with southerly flow over the Yellow Sea continues to advect warm, humid maritime air across the Shandong Peninsula, while the coastal setting favors afternoon sea breezes that typically cap peaks near 31°C. Modest model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in cloud cover and any late-day showers, which would suppress insolation and favor the lower end of guidance. Historical August climatology for the city shows mean highs of 29–31°C, providing a baseline against which current runs show only marginal warming. Fresh CMA and ECMWF updates expected overnight remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 27 agosto?
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
32°C 23%
33°C 21%
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
23%
33°C
21%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
32°C 23%
33°C 21%
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
23%
33°C
21%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from global and regional models points to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Qingdao on August 27, consistent with trader weighting around those outcomes. Late-summer subtropical high pressure combined with southerly flow over the Yellow Sea continues to advect warm, humid maritime air across the Shandong Peninsula, while the coastal setting favors afternoon sea breezes that typically cap peaks near 31°C. Modest model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in cloud cover and any late-day showers, which would suppress insolation and favor the lower end of guidance. Historical August climatology for the city shows mean highs of 29–31°C, providing a baseline against which current runs show only marginal warming. Fresh CMA and ECMWF updates expected overnight remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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