Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 25 agosto?
31°C 52%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
52%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
26°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$58 Vol.
1%
28°C
$58 Vol.
1%
29°C
$112 Vol.
5%
30°C
$188 Vol.
21%
31°C
$470 Vol.
52%
32°C
$185 Vol.
23%
33°C
$132 Vol.
5%
34°C
$58 Vol.
1%
35°C
$23 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,618Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,618Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti