Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 29–31°C on August 26 amid scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus clustering tightly around 30–31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures in August, driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, support the slight edge for 31°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress peak solar insolation and limit afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside humidity levels above 80% that moderate diurnal rises. Southwest monsoon flow and any nearby tropical disturbances may steer additional moisture, introducing forecast spread across numerical models. Updated HKO guidance and refined ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 26 agosto?
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
32°C 15%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
8%
30°C
32%
31°C
30%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
32°C 15%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$140 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2 Vol.
32%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
15%
33°C
$2 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 29–31°C on August 26 amid scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus clustering tightly around 30–31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures in August, driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, support the slight edge for 31°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress peak solar insolation and limit afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside humidity levels above 80% that moderate diurnal rises. Southwest monsoon flow and any nearby tropical disturbances may steer additional moisture, introducing forecast spread across numerical models. Updated HKO guidance and refined ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$164Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 29–31°C on August 26 amid scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus clustering tightly around 30–31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures in August, driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, support the slight edge for 31°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress peak solar insolation and limit afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside humidity levels above 80% that moderate diurnal rises. Southwest monsoon flow and any nearby tropical disturbances may steer additional moisture, introducing forecast spread across numerical models. Updated HKO guidance and refined ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$164Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 29–31°C on August 26 amid scattered showers, aligning with trader consensus clustering tightly around 30–31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures in August, driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, support the slight edge for 31°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and rainfall timing that can suppress peak solar insolation and limit afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside humidity levels above 80% that moderate diurnal rises. Southwest monsoon flow and any nearby tropical disturbances may steer additional moisture, introducing forecast spread across numerical models. Updated HKO guidance and refined ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around observed daily maxima at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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