Persistent high pressure and above-normal temperatures across the south-central and north-central U.S. have driven recent degradations, expanding severe to exceptional (D2-D4) drought in the Southern Plains, Upper Midwest, and parts of the Rockies as of the U.S. Drought Monitor data valid August 25, 2026. D4 coverage remains limited nationally at roughly 1.75% of the contiguous U.S., concentrated in states such as Idaho (nearly 8%) with smaller extents in Arkansas and neighboring areas, while monsoon activity has eased conditions in the Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center notes strong El Niño development favoring potential shifts later, but short-term outlooks highlight continued evaporative demand through early September. The next USDM update, incorporating conditions through early September, will determine state-level D4 designations for the week of September 1.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSiccità eccezionale (D4) per stato — settimana del 1° settembre 2026
$19,258 Vol.

Alabama
2%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
92%

California
5%

Colorado
98%

Delaware
38%

Florida
12%

Georgia
6%

Idaho
87%

Illinois
38%

Indiana
38%

Iowa
2%

Kansas
3%

Kentucky
25%

Louisiana
3%

Maryland
27%

Minnesota
9%

Mississippi
84%

Missouri
3%

Montana
5%

Nebraska
94%

Nevada
73%

New Jersey
4%

Nuovo Messico
94%

Carolina del Nord
71%

Dakota del Nord
7%

Ohio
5%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
94%

Pennsylvania
3%

Carolina del Sud
9%

South Dakota
7%

Tennessee
2%

Texas
97%

Utah
67%

Virginia
4%

Washington
9%

Virginia Occidentale
4%

Wisconsin
10%

Wyoming
12%
$19,258 Vol.

Alabama
2%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
92%

California
5%

Colorado
98%

Delaware
38%

Florida
12%

Georgia
6%

Idaho
87%

Illinois
38%

Indiana
38%

Iowa
2%

Kansas
3%

Kentucky
25%

Louisiana
3%

Maryland
27%

Minnesota
9%

Mississippi
84%

Missouri
3%

Montana
5%

Nebraska
94%

Nevada
73%

New Jersey
4%

Nuovo Messico
94%

Carolina del Nord
71%

Dakota del Nord
7%

Ohio
5%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
94%

Pennsylvania
3%

Carolina del Sud
9%

South Dakota
7%

Tennessee
2%

Texas
97%

Utah
67%

Virginia
4%

Washington
9%

Virginia Occidentale
4%

Wisconsin
10%

Wyoming
12%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 1, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 1, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent high pressure and above-normal temperatures across the south-central and north-central U.S. have driven recent degradations, expanding severe to exceptional (D2-D4) drought in the Southern Plains, Upper Midwest, and parts of the Rockies as of the U.S. Drought Monitor data valid August 25, 2026. D4 coverage remains limited nationally at roughly 1.75% of the contiguous U.S., concentrated in states such as Idaho (nearly 8%) with smaller extents in Arkansas and neighboring areas, while monsoon activity has eased conditions in the Southwest. The Climate Prediction Center notes strong El Niño development favoring potential shifts later, but short-term outlooks highlight continued evaporative demand through early September. The next USDM update, incorporating conditions through early September, will determine state-level D4 designations for the week of September 1.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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