Recent short-range forecasts for Qingdao on August 28 indicate a mostly cloudy regime with highs clustered around 28–30 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, limited solar insolation from cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that suppress peak afternoon temperatures. Numerical models show only small spreads in maximum values because the coastal marine layer and weak pressure gradient limit both strong warming and sharp cooling. Historical August climatology places the mean daily high near 29 °C, so trader-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched between 28 °C and 30 °C; differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any convective cells. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 28 agosto?
29°C 45%
33°C 40%
27°C 39%
28°C 27%
25°C o inferiore
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
39%
28°C
27%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
40%
34°C
4%
35°C o superiore
3%
29°C 45%
33°C 40%
27°C 39%
28°C 27%
25°C o inferiore
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
39%
28°C
27%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
40%
34°C
4%
35°C o superiore
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Qingdao on August 28 indicate a mostly cloudy regime with highs clustered around 28–30 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, limited solar insolation from cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that suppress peak afternoon temperatures. Numerical models show only small spreads in maximum values because the coastal marine layer and weak pressure gradient limit both strong warming and sharp cooling. Historical August climatology places the mean daily high near 29 °C, so trader-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched between 28 °C and 30 °C; differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any convective cells. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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