Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Typhoon Obet outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila on August 28. These conditions reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, suppressing daytime maxima below the seasonal average of 31°C. Forecast models from PAGASA and others converge on highs near 28–30°C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and near-100% rain probability, though brief cloud breaks could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Trader consensus around 28–30°C reflects this monsoon-driven uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the intensity and timing of convective cells over the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 28 agosto?
29°C 30%
32°C 29%
30°C 28%
27°C 20%
23°C o inferiore
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
30%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
29%
33°C o superiore
4%
29°C 30%
32°C 29%
30°C 28%
27°C 20%
23°C o inferiore
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
30%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
29%
33°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Typhoon Obet outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila on August 28. These conditions reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, suppressing daytime maxima below the seasonal average of 31°C. Forecast models from PAGASA and others converge on highs near 28–30°C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and near-100% rain probability, though brief cloud breaks could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Trader consensus around 28–30°C reflects this monsoon-driven uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the intensity and timing of convective cells over the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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